In a war-like situation Nifty50's fall and rise greater than Dow Jones, says this exclusive research - details here!

In a war-like situation, India's Nifty50 has witnessed greater fall in comparison with the US Dow Jones while the recovery after it has also been much swifter than its US peer.

Chaturvedi said that the returns given by Nifty50 have been higher than the Dow Jones.

In a war-like situation, India's Nifty50 has witnessed greater fall in comparison with the US Dow Jones while the recovery after it has also been much swifter than its US peer. The above analysis is based on the movements shown by the two indices on six such instances. Zee Business brings this exclusive research.

Research Analyst Ashish Chaturvedi tells that the average fall witnessed by Nifty50 over these six instances of war was over 16 percent versus 11 percent decline seen in the US Dow Jones.

The six instances of war include September 11 US attacks, Iran-Kuwait war, Russia-Afghanistan war, Korea War, Pearl Harbour Attack and France-Germany war.

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Chaturvedi said that the returns given by Nifty50 have been higher than the Dow Jones.

Taking these 6 big events, the global market has fallen by 11 percent - 11.5 percent on an average and the domestic market has fallen by over 16 percent. 18600 is our pick, if we count 16 percent from that, then it comes around 15500 - 15600.

In the worst-case scenario last time we wiped around 16400, at that time, many people had calculated and made 15500 as rock bottom after adding technical charges. So according to this calculation also 15500 is rock bottom.

This shows that either it is the condition of war or no war, 15500 will not break. That means there is a risk of 1000 points from here.

This big data has come out that if we take the average 16.5 percent then the 15500 level comes out where the investors should invest their money by putting their efforts.

If seen after 3 months of decline, it has happened 2 out of 6 times when the return has been negative and that too of 4 percent and 3 per cent in Dow Jones. Otherwise, returns were positive.
Dow Jones: Average return after major crisis
Time: 3 months
Returns: 7.3%

Time: 6 months
Returns: 11.6%

Time: 1 Year
Returns: 11.5%

So, on an average, this showed that the US market gives huge returns after a war-like situation.

Talking about the domestic market, Kushal Gupta, Senior research analyst at Zee Business, said the domestic market also sees a good boom after the war-like situation. If seen after 3 months, Nifty has an outperformance, and even after 6 months, it seems to be performing. But the special thing about Nifty is that recovery is excellent in every instance.

Nifty: Average return after major crisis
Time: 3 months
Returns: 23.1%

Time: 6 months
Returns: 34%

Time: 1 Year
Returns: 13.5%

Hence, it clearly showed that the Nifty gives better returns than Dow Jones after a war-like situation.

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